One often hears from the mouths of politicians that it is their goal of full employment in the country. This demand is essentially honest. But this is even possible? Today I want to do away with the story a little. First, the question should be clarified what actually means full employment. An extract from Wikipedia .
"in political debate is full employment, seen mostly in connection with the fight against unemployment. It is defined here as no exceedance a certain percentage of unemployment, for example, less than 2%. In regions with extremely high levels of employment but can be actually observed unemployment rates of below 2% (eg Italy with an unemployment rate of 1.9%). "
Currently we have an official unemployment rate of 8.0%. tendency of increasing quota can. From full employment neither now are still in the future the question. How much one can trust such statistics and the related derivatives (mis) I have already explained in my contribution to the unemployment figures.
The unemployment rate is currently under to the Federal Employment Agency (Sep. 09) 3.346 million Menschen. Wenn man also Vollbeschäftigung etablieren wollen würde müsste man die Arbeitslosenquote von derzeit 8% auf 2% reduzieren. Ein kühnes Projekt! In Zahlen würde dies wie folgt aussehen:
8% Arbeitslosenquote = 3.346.000 Menschen
2% Arbeitslosenquote = 0.836.500 Menschen
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Benötigte Stellen = 2.509.500
Das diese Zahl mehr als utopisch ist scheint die Regierung jedoch nicht zu stören. Es hört sich gut an und vermittelt, dem vielleicht politischen desinteressierten Bürger, daß man willens ist die Lage zu verbessern. Ob dies jedoch objektiv möglich ist spielt dabei keine Rolle. Darüber hinaus is also made no statement about how the pay of these jobs look like. It can therefore be assumed that they would continue the work that is prakarisieren expansion of temporary work , the dumping wages and employment measures, such as one-euro jobs. Full employment at any price then. Ver.di recently this trend has also been confirmed in their publication.
Apparently not arrived in Berlin that we in the 21st Century arrived. Due to technical progress has made it possible that the number of goods can be produced by fewer and fewer people konkrekt ie, that a more larger segment of the population will literally be "redundant." These Anstiegt of automation and productivity most mass layoffs are connected. The current crisis, many entrepreneurs an opportunity to willkommenner his expensive permanent staff to dispose of. Warns the OECD in its publication . If the economy should come back in the corridor, you will serve areas to the much cheaper and temporary workers, because in comparison to permanent staff very much paid less can be thrown off and do whatever again. The shortfall due to poor remuneration paralyze the entire country in its financial flexibility.
Wie sieht aber die Lage aktuelle in unserem Land aus? Besucht man die Job-Börse der Bundesagentur für Arbeit wird einem stolz mitgeteilt wieviel offene Positionen angeboten werden.
Heute sind es z.B. 415.309 offene Stellen. Auch wenn es sich bei diesen Positionen meist nur um prekäre Karrieren bei Zeitarbeitsfirmen handelt nehme ich sie mit in die Kalkulation ein. Dieser Zahl stehen - wie bereits geschrieben - 3.346.000 Menschen ohne Arbeit sowie das Problem der steigenden Automatisierung und Produktivität gegenüber. Auch wenn man alle Stellen erfolgreich besetzen könnte hätte man weiterhin eine Arbeitslosenzahl von 2.930.691 . Man darf sich also berechtigt ask how the government would provide the required work?
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